This study aims to examine the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on school dropout rates in Brazilian high schools. Data from the Anísio Teixeira National Institute for Educational Studies and Research (INEP), covering the period from 2015 to 2023, were analyzed using multiple regression with dummy variables and the Chow test. This approach allowed for the control of variables such as school location (rural or urban), administrative dependency (public or private), geographic regions (Central-West, Northeast, North, South, and Southeast), and the pandemic (specifically the year 2020, when social distancing measures were implemented). The findings indicate that dropout rates in urban and rural schools are similar; however, public schools consistently showed higher dropout rates compared to private schools across all models. Furthermore, during the pandemic period, the Northeast region exhibited dropout levels comparable to those of the North, while the South showed higher dropout rates than the North. Additionally, the pandemic led to changes in both the linear and angular coefficients of the dependent variable (school dropout), suggesting that the health crisis contributed to an increase in dropout rates in the country.

Authors:
Rafael Altoé Frossard, Federal University of Espírito Santo, Brazil

About the Presenter(s)
Rafael Altoé Frossard (PhD Student at Federal University of Espírito Santo - Brazil), University Professor at Multivix. Currently, I am studying full-day schools and school dropout.

See this presentation on the full schedule – Wednesday Schedule

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